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Net zero by 2050: The challenges of building a H2 ecosystem

On Day 2 of Gulf Energy Information’s Carbon+Intel Forum in Houston, Texas (U.S.), Noureen Faizee (NF), Global Director, Strategy & Growth for Worley, Brent Novak (BN), Vice President, Ammonia Strategy for 8 Rivers and Curtis Stubbings (CS), Vice President and General Manager, Industrial Gas Solution for Chart participated in a panel discussion about blue H2, with Ryan Hopkins, Partner for White & Case as the moderator, followed by a brief Q&A.

Moderator: What are some issues that need to be considered when building an H2 ecosystem?

NE: One of the key issues we have heard is the lack of regulated re-frameworks because projects will not be able to move forward without clear guidance on permitting processes. We are talking about having a H2 industry built by the end of this decade, so we cannot continue to work the way we are used to. The other issue is that we need to identify demand drivers because the hubs must have multiple offtakers to spread the risk across different markets. The most important challenge I see is community consent for long-term success. Last year, there was strong public opposition to an offshore wind project in Massachusetts regarding endangered species and property values.

Moderator: How do you see the existing H2 infrastructure in the U.S. being integrated into clusters?

CS: There is large infrastructure, especially on the Gulf Coast, and I think that is a real opportunity for the U.S. to take that grey H2 and turn it blue. We can do that at a lower cost as we build new applications, which helps build the market for future green H2 projects. If we try to force green H2 onto the market at high costs, the market may never develop to the extent it needs to. It is similar on the liquid H2 side; North America probably has 85%–90% of the liquid H2 capacity of the world.

Moderator: How do you see that being distributed and moved around?

BN: H2 is a very difficult molecule to transport, with low energy density and expensive to through the liquefaction process. There is around 100 MMt–120 MMt of H2 worldwide, but most is consumed onsite. The infrastructure to ship it does not exist. You can convert H2 into ammonia or methanol for transport. There are over 200 ports worldwide that can import or export ammonia; this method can be used in the short term because the infrastructure already exists. In the long term, liquid organic H2 carriers would be a good option.

Moderator: How will we build the H2 market and get a supply and demand balance?

NE: The IRA has been an excellent platform for creating a vast supply push for H2 production, but there has not been enough focus on the demand side of the equation. We could look at government initiatives; for example, “x” percentage of ammonia should come from green H2, or a certain percentage of H2 produced must be blended into existing gas networks. Most H2 users are in refining, ammonia and methanol. By 2050, we need to use H2 in power, buildings and transportation.

CS: We can look at California and what they have accomplished with the low-carbon fuel standard, which has successfully built a lot of infrastructure. This has given people more confidence in acquiring H2 vehicles. To greatly increase the use of H2 as a fuel, we need to continue that on a larger scale, especially by incentivizing heavy-duty trucks to switch over to H2.

Moderator: What can we do to promote ourselves and educate the public?

BN: The public perception of H2 is that people do not want to drive around with a bomb in their tank. It is something you do not want to take lightly, but things can be done to make it extremely safe. Once people are educated, they can understand the advantages of H2, and there will be much more acceptance.

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